Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma | Baylor | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 84.4% | 15.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.9% | 19.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 67.4% | 32.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 92.3% | 7.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 92.4% | 7.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Baylor -13 (54-67). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.