Model Predictions
| Model | Marist | Iona | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Iona +14 (88-74). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.