Model Predictions
| Model | Rutgers | Georgetown | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.6% | 83.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.9% | 78.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.3% | 87.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.1% | 87.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.8% | 79.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Georgetown +10 (76-66). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.