Model Predictions
| Model | Baylor | Texas Tech | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.5% | 85.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.9% | 80.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas Tech +16 (80-64). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.