Model Predictions
| Model | Towson | Drexel | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.0% | 90.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.3% | 79.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.9% | 86.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.9% | 93.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.9% | 93.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 13.4% | 86.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Drexel +29 (85-56). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.