Model Predictions
| Model | Butler | Wright State | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 86.9% | 13.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 85.0% | 15.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 74.3% | 25.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 65.8% | 34.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 96.2% | 3.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 96.2% | 3.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.8% | 30.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Wright State -11 (70-81). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.