Model Predictions
| Model | William & Mary | Drexel | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.6% | 79.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.9% | 78.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Drexel +16 (67-51). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.