Model Predictions
| Model | Texas | Baylor | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.1% | 26.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.3% | 24.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 66.5% | 33.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 92.3% | 7.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 92.3% | 7.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.9% | 38.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Baylor -11 (71-82). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.