Model Predictions
| Model | Vermont | Cornell | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.8% | 32.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.0% | 28.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 65.0% | 35.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 72.4% | 27.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 93.8% | 6.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 93.9% | 6.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.8% | 40.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cornell -14 (52-66). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.