Model Predictions
| Model | Northwestern | Purdue | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.7% | 87.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.6% | 95.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.5% | 95.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 11.4% | 88.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Purdue +14 (82-68). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.