Model Predictions
| Model | UNC Wilmington | Drexel | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.5% | 34.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.6% | 31.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 64.2% | 35.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 90.5% | 9.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 90.8% | 9.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Drexel -2 (86-88). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.