Model Predictions
| Model | Coastal Carolina | Winthrop | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Winthrop -14 (50-64). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.