Model Predictions
| Model | Southern California | UCLA | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UCLA -5 (75-80). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.