Model Predictions
| Model | DePaul | Cincinnati | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.1% | 89.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.9% | 75.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cincinnati +8 (64-56). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.