Model Predictions
| Model | Elon | Wake Forest | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 1.6% | 98.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.6% | 89.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.5% | 96.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 10.9% | 89.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 0.1% | 99.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 0.1% | 99.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 4.2% | 95.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Wake Forest +42 (98-56). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.