Model Predictions
| Model | Lafayette | Cornell | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.1% | 35.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.3% | 32.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 69.6% | 30.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.1% | 11.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.3% | 11.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cornell +7 (80-73). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.