Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento State | Lipscomb | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.9% | 37.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Lipscomb -12 (71-83). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.