Model Predictions
| Model | Dartmouth | Harvard | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.9% | 84.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.2% | 89.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.1% | 89.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Harvard +17 (67-50). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.