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UC Riverside 77
@
Cal Poly 83
2003-01-04

No player box score is stored for this game; the score is Sports-Reference's.

Model Predictions

Model UC Riverside Cal Poly Spread Result
Elo 23.1% 76.9% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 35.8% 64.2% - ✓
Margin 34.1% 65.9% - ✓
Pythagorean 29.5% 70.5% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 31.6% 68.4% - ✓
Log Adjusted 31.6% 68.4% - ✓
Points Off/Def 36.1% 63.9% - ✓

Actual: Cal Poly +6 (83-77). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.