Cal State Fullerton vs Cal Poly

Cal State Fullerton 44

Cal Poly 65

No player box score is stored for this game; the score is Sports-Reference's.

Model	Cal State Fullerton	Cal Poly	Spread	Result
Elo	16.1%	83.9%	-	✓
Bradley-Terry	29.0%	71.0%	-	✓
Margin	34.3%	65.7%	-	✓
Pythagorean	47.9%	52.1%	-	✓
Adjusted Efficiency	32.5%	67.5%	-	✓
Log Adjusted	32.4%	67.6%	-	✓
Points Off/Def	38.8%	61.2%	-	✓

Actual: Cal Poly +21 (65-44). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.