Model Predictions
| Model | Houston | Texas Tech | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.6% | 93.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.3% | 83.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.5% | 91.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.7% | 98.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.6% | 98.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 7.3% | 92.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas Tech +14 (62-48). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.