Model Predictions
| Model | Maine | Lipscomb | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.5% | 33.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 71.0% | 29.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.4% | 34.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.6% | 34.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 70.7% | 29.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Lipscomb -16 (71-87). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages; those weekly fits give Lipscomb, ESPN's listed home team, the home edge at this neutral site.