Model Predictions
| Model | Western Kentucky | Pacific | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.9% | 29.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 74.5% | 25.5% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 65.2% | 34.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.2% | 5.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.2% | 5.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 65.1% | 34.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Pacific +13 (70-57). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.