Model Predictions
| Model | Colgate | Drexel | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.8% | 84.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.9% | 79.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.4% | 72.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.0% | 80.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Drexel +21 (75-54). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.