Score source: Sports-Reference box score.
Model Predictions
| Model | Winthrop | Oklahoma | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.5% | 88.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.1% | 97.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.0% | 98.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma +24 (74-50). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages; those weekly fits give Oklahoma, ESPN's listed home team, the home edge at this neutral site.