Model Predictions
| Model | Wake Forest | Vanderbilt | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Vanderbilt -15 (68-83). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.