Model Predictions
| Model | Southern | Jackson State | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Jackson State +15 (76-61). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages; those weekly fits give Jackson State, ESPN's listed home team, the home edge at this neutral site.