Model Predictions
| Model | Wisconsin | Purdue | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Purdue -12 (66-78). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages; those weekly fits give Purdue, ESPN's listed home team, the home edge at this neutral site.