Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Arizona | Eastern Washington | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Eastern Washington -17 (65-82). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages; those weekly fits give Eastern Washington, ESPN's listed home team, the home edge at this neutral site.