Model Predictions
| Model | Utah State | Pacific | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 91.7% | 8.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 85.1% | 14.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 77.7% | 22.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 64.2% | 35.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 90.7% | 9.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 90.7% | 9.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 79.0% | 21.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Pacific -23 (41-64). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages; those weekly fits give Pacific, ESPN's listed home team, the home edge at this neutral site.