Model Predictions
| Model | West Virginia | Georgetown | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Georgetown +3 (70-67). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages; those weekly fits give Georgetown, ESPN's listed home team, the home edge at this neutral site.