Model Predictions
| Model | Hofstra | Drexel | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 84.8% | 15.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 79.0% | 21.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 83.4% | 16.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 68.0% | 32.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 95.3% | 4.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 95.4% | 4.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 84.4% | 15.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Drexel -18 (51-69). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages; those weekly fits give Drexel, ESPN's listed home team, the home edge at this neutral site.