Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton | Virginia Tech | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.9% | 40.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.4% | 28.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.4% | 16.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.6% | 16.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Virginia Tech +12 (64-52). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.