Model Predictions
| Model | Montana | Eastern Washington | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Eastern Washington -2 (75-77). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.