Model Predictions
| Model | Towson | Delaware | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.7% | 92.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.5% | 84.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.3% | 87.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.0% | 88.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Delaware +10 (79-69). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.