Model Predictions
| Model | Harvard | Cornell | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cornell -14 (60-74). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.