Long Beach State vs Cal Poly

Long Beach State 100

Cal Poly 92

No player box score is stored for this game; the score is Sports-Reference's.

Model	Long Beach State	Cal Poly	Spread	Result
Elo	83.3%	16.7%	-	✓
Bradley-Terry	86.6%	13.4%	-	✓
Margin	73.2%	26.8%	-	✓
Pythagorean	73.7%	26.3%	-	✓
Adjusted Efficiency	95.4%	4.6%	-	✓
Log Adjusted	95.5%	4.5%	-	✓
Points Off/Def	72.7%	27.3%	-	✓

Actual: Cal Poly -8 (92-100). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.