Model Predictions
| Model | Wofford | Davidson | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.0% | 79.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.0% | 79.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Davidson -1 (64-65). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages; those weekly fits give Davidson, ESPN's listed home team, the home edge at this neutral site.