Model Predictions
| Model | Dartmouth | Cornell | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cornell -6 (62-68). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.