Model Predictions
| Model | Iowa State | Texas Tech | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.2% | 19.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.6% | 19.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 66.7% | 33.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 63.2% | 36.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 92.9% | 7.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 93.0% | 7.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 66.6% | 33.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas Tech -8 (79-87). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.