Model Predictions
| Model | West Virginia | Georgetown | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Georgetown +18 (72-54). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.