Model Predictions
| Model | Duke | Clemson | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 91.5% | 8.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 90.8% | 9.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 85.8% | 14.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 70.0% | 30.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 99.0% | 1.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 99.0% | 1.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 84.5% | 15.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Clemson -14 (78-92). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.