Model Predictions
| Model | Albany (NY) | Colgate | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.6% | 79.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.2% | 77.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Colgate -16 (70-86). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.