Model Predictions
| Model | Oregon State | UCLA | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.2% | 78.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCLA +10 (69-59). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.