Model Predictions
| Model | Kansas State | Texas Tech | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas Tech +11 (75-64). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.