Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri | Oklahoma | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma +27 (83-56). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.