Model Predictions
| Model | Delaware State | Howard | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | โ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.3% | 34.7% | - | โ |
| Margin | 58.6% | 41.4% | - | โ |
| Pythagorean | 81.7% | 18.3% | - | โ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.1% | 18.9% | - | โ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.1% | 18.9% | - | โ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | โ |
Actual: Howard -3 (72-75). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.