Model Predictions
| Model | Pennsylvania | Harvard | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 88.4% | 11.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 84.9% | 15.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 75.8% | 24.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 67.5% | 32.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 97.7% | 2.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 97.8% | 2.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 73.1% | 26.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Harvard -1 (61-62). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.