Model Predictions
| Model | Hofstra | Drexel | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.0% | 27.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.2% | 22.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 71.5% | 28.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 67.5% | 32.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 95.6% | 4.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 95.7% | 4.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 71.9% | 28.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Drexel -9 (57-66). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.