Model Predictions
| Model | Georgia Southern | Davidson | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.0% | 80.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.3% | 77.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Davidson -1 (87-88). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.